Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 7.308278e-05 0.000088 0.000104 0.000123 0.000143 0.000165 0.000190
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.500272e-05 0.000075 0.000098 0.000126 0.000159 0.000195 0.000239
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.397597e-05 0.000065 0.000091 0.000125 0.000165 0.000211 0.000267
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.370562e-05 0.000056 0.000084 0.000121 0.000168 0.000223 0.000293
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.704416e-05 0.000049 0.000078 0.000119 0.000171 0.000234 0.000315
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.179811e-05 0.000043 0.000074 0.000118 0.000176 0.000248 0.000340
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.852278e-05 0.000040 0.000072 0.000120 0.000183 0.000263 0.000368
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.490935e-05 0.000036 0.000069 0.000118 0.000187 0.000274 0.000390
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.139330e-05 0.000031 0.000063 0.000114 0.000186 0.000279 0.000403
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.575681e-06 0.000029 0.000062 0.000115 0.000192 0.000293 0.000430
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.939999e-06 0.000024 0.000056 0.000110 0.000189 0.000294 0.000439
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.839136e-06 0.000023 0.000056 0.000112 0.000196 0.000309 0.000466
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.973696e-06 0.000019 0.000051 0.000108 0.000195 0.000315 0.000483
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.117763e-06 0.000018 0.000050 0.000110 0.000204 0.000334 0.000517
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.211080e-06 0.000016 0.000048 0.000109 0.000208 0.000346 0.000542
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.341078e-06 0.000013 0.000044 0.000106 0.000207 0.000351 0.000559
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.215216e-07 0.000011 0.000042 0.000104 0.000209 0.000360 0.000580
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.809554e-07 0.000010 0.000039 0.000103 0.000212 0.000371 0.000604
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.099260e-07 0.000009 0.000039 0.000105 0.000219 0.000387 0.000634
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.443676e-07 0.000008 0.000037 0.000103 0.000221 0.000396 0.000656
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.721163e-08 0.000006 0.000034 0.000100 0.000219 0.000399 0.000669
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.181875e-08 0.000006 0.000033 0.000101 0.000225 0.000414 0.000699
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.571788e-12 0.000004 0.000030 0.000096 0.000220 0.000413 0.000706